国际研究 Dissertation案例：中国在北极的影响
小结
本dissertation研究了中国在北极地区日益增长的影响力
The Rise of the Snow Dragon ：Assessing the impact of China’s increasing role in the Arctic
(Title)
Abstract
The Arctic is heating up in more ways than one. With the loss of its ice comes a rise
in states’ national interests in the Far North, but whether the region will develop the
governance required to effectively address its growing transnational challenges
remains unclear. This research considers ‘In what ways will China’s increasing role
in the Arctic impact on the future development of its regional governance regimes?’.
As a rising global superpower with increasing influence and ambitions in the Arctic,
China’s presence is one of the main drivers behind change in the regional status
quo. Situational-structural regime theory is used to explore China’s potential impact
on the Arctic’s overarching and interconnected ‘Environmental’, ‘Security’ and
‘Economic’ regimes. This interest-based regime theory exposes how different
degrees of cooperation evolve in each regime depending on the perceived national
interests in developing transnational governance mechanisms. China’s role is crossexamined against a series of regime-specific indicators of governance. They mainly investigate the impact this will have on the United States’ and Russia’s perceptions, and thus reactions, to Beijing’s influence in these regimes. This research
demonstrates that China, despite some potentially significant contributions, will
mostly detriment development across the governance regimes, largely due to
medium-term economic interests. However, it is the United States’ perceptions of
China’s rising role, almost exclusively as a geopolitical threat, that is most likely to
prevent regime development towards a governance capable of managing an
increasingly contested Arctic; a warning for the future of global governance beyond
the Far North.
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